This season the FCS playoff picture has a slight shift, with the MEAC opting out of their auto-bid to play in a Classic against the SWAC. This leaves 10 automatic bids, and 14 at-large bids to be had. For the remainder of the season, we will break down the ever evolving playoff picture week to week. Emphasis is placed on the traditional, but not official 7 division 1 win threshold.
After Liberty’s loss to Charleston Southern, the Flames were eliminated from consideration for the FCS playoffs. Looking at this week’s results, had the Flames won they would likely have been the last team in or first team out. Instead, either an additional CAA or Big Sky team is the likely beneficiary of Liberty’s elimination. Villanova jumped into an at-large spot with their win over Richmond, Montana jumped back in with their dominating win, and Eastern Washington dropped to the bubble after their second straight defeat. There are a couple of de facto playoff games this week, as Eastern Kentucky meets Eastern Illinois for a likely at-large bid, and Sam Houston State faces off against Central Arkansas in another winner goes home type of match up.
Conference Projections
Big Sky
Auto-Bid:
Southern Utah (7-3, 6-1)
At-Large:
Montana (6-4, 5-2)
Portland State (8-2, 5-2)
Northern Arizona (7-3, 5-2)
Bubble:
Eastern Washington (6-4, 5-2)
Still Alive:
North Dakota (6-4, 4-3)
Big South
Auto-Bid:
Charleston Southern (9-1, 6-0)
At-Large:
Coastal Carolina (4-1, 9-1)
Colonial
Auto-Bid:
William & Mary (8-2, 6-1)
At-Large:
James Madison (8-2, 5-2)
Villanova (6-4, 5-2)
Richmond (7-3, 5-2)
Bubble:
New Hampshire (6-4, 4-3)
Still Alive:
Towson (6-4, 4-3)
Missouri Valley
Auto-Bid:
North Dakota State (8-2, 6-1)
At-Large:
Illinois State (8-2, 6-1)
South Dakota State (8-2, 5-2)
Northern Iowa (6-4, 4-3)
Northeast
Auto-Bid:
Duquesne (7-3, 4-1)
Still Alive:
St. Francis (6-3, 4-1) *cannot get to 7 D-1 wins, but still alive for auto-bid
Ohio Valley
Auto-Bid:
Jacksonville State (9-1, 7-0)
At-Large:
Eastern Kentucky (6-4, 5-2)
Bubble:
Eastern Illinois (6-4, 6-1)
Patriot
Auto-Bid:
Colgate (6-4, 5-0)
At-Large:
Fordham (9-2, 5-1)
Pioneer
Auto-Bid:
Dayton (10-0, 7-0)
Still Alive:
Jacksonville (8-2, 5-2)
San Diego (8-2, 6-1)
Southern
Auto-Bid:
Chattanooga (8-2, 6-1)
At-Large:
Citadel (7-3, 6-1)
Still Alive:
Western Carolina (6-4, 4-3)
Southland
Auto-Bid:
McNeese State (9-0, 8-0)
At-Large:
Sam Houston State (7-3, 6-2)
Bubble:
Central Arkansas (7-3, 7-1)
Duke..
Do you think Richmond is still in even at 7-4?
Bennie,
I think so. In the CAA log jam, the JMU win stands out. Although, they will need to look good against W&M if they lose. If they get blown out they could be in trouble.
Lots of bubble teams this year.
Thanks Duke..
You guys do a great job on here. Keep it up!
Go Flames!